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Tomorrow's Battles: Is the Future Predictable?

Par : Type de matériel : TexteTexteLangue : français Détails de publication : 2006. Ressources en ligne : Abrégé : Classical war is probably dead because it is no longer a profitable tool to achieve political and economic goals. It has relinquished its place to dissymmetric conflicts that very quickly divert themselves into long asymmetric confrontations. Abroad, the stabilization phase has become the decisive phase. The place of war has changed: whereas in the past, it was conducted in three dimensions, in open spaces, within armies, it is now conducted on the ground, in close quarters, and in the midst of populations. The enemy adapts more quickly and armament is practically never used to produce the effect for which it was conceived. Today, more than ever, it is not the ability to plan and to decide that counts, but the ability to react and to adapt.
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Classical war is probably dead because it is no longer a profitable tool to achieve political and economic goals. It has relinquished its place to dissymmetric conflicts that very quickly divert themselves into long asymmetric confrontations. Abroad, the stabilization phase has become the decisive phase. The place of war has changed: whereas in the past, it was conducted in three dimensions, in open spaces, within armies, it is now conducted on the ground, in close quarters, and in the midst of populations. The enemy adapts more quickly and armament is practically never used to produce the effect for which it was conceived. Today, more than ever, it is not the ability to plan and to decide that counts, but the ability to react and to adapt.

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