Co-opting separatists: Social welfare for cross-border minorities in Xinjiang

Hlásny, Vladimír

Co-opting separatists: Social welfare for cross-border minorities in Xinjiang - 2022.


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Xinjiang has been the scene of inter-ethnic, religious, and political conflict, creating challenges for the government in Beijing. This study uses unique historical data on county governments’ welfare spending in Xinjiang from 1995 to 2003 to link regional demographic composition and spending. Panel-method regressions show that counties with cross-border ethnic and religious minorities located near borders spend more on welfare due to the threat of unrest and separatism among the minorities. Moreover, the 2001 US invasion of Afghanistan led to increases in spending in Muslim-minority areas. These results shed light on fiscal governance in western China and the co-optation of minorities amid leadership concerns over challenges to regime stability.

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