La veille prospective, une démarche de préparation aux futures menaces de la santé publique : exercice mené à l’Institut de veille sanitaire en 2014 (notice n° 1004081)
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| control field | 20250125134830.0 |
| 041 ## - LANGUAGE CODE | |
| Language code of text/sound track or separate title | fre |
| 042 ## - AUTHENTICATION CODE | |
| Authentication code | dc |
| 100 10 - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Eilstein, Daniel |
| Relator term | author |
| 245 00 - TITLE STATEMENT | |
| Title | La veille prospective, une démarche de préparation aux futures menaces de la santé publique : exercice mené à l’Institut de veille sanitaire en 2014 |
| 260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. | |
| Date of publication, distribution, etc. | 2016.<br/> |
| 500 ## - GENERAL NOTE | |
| General note | 35 |
| 520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. | |
| Summary, etc. | Objectif : La veille sanitaire est réactive et sans réel recul sur le traitement des signaux et des alertes au risque de ne pas voir venir des modifications profondes à fort impact sur la santé, à moyen ou long terme. Pour anticiper, l’Institut de veille sanitaire a exploré une démarche de veille prospective. Méthodes : Les étapes étaient : 1˚) Sélection de facteurs déterminants pour la santé, 2˚) Identification de variables clés issues des déterminants. Les variables classées en trois groupes (facteurs déclencheurs d’événements de santé, de diffusion et de réponses) faisaient l’objet d’hypothèses d’évolution future, 3˚) Identification, dans les trois groupes, de microscénarios à partir des hypothèses sur les variables, 4˚) Construction de macroscénarios à partir de trois microscénarios issus des trois groupes et 5˚) Identification d’enjeux et de besoins pour l’avenir de la santé publique. Résultats : Vingt-deux variables-clés, 17 microscénarios et cinq macroscénarios ont été identifiés. Les enjeux portent sur les inégalités sociales et territoriales de santé, les fardeaux pour la santé, les responsabilités individuelle et collective face à la santé, les aspects éthiques, les phénomènes émergents, le « Big data » et la fouille de données, les nouvelles technologies de santé, l’emboîtement d’échelles d’analyse. Conclusions : La démarche éclaire les choix de programmation d’un institut de santé publique, en particulier pour la veille et la surveillance. Décrire les futurs possibles et les éléments orientant vers un scénario plutôt qu’un autre peut aider à orienter les choix vers un (ou des) avenir(s) plus favorables pour la santé. |
| 520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. | |
| Summary, etc. | Horizon scanning in preparation for future health threats: a pilot exercise conducted by the French Institute for Public Health Surveillance in 2014 Background: Health surveillance is a reactive process, with no real hindsight for dealing with signals and alerts. It may fail to detect more radical changes with a major medium-term or long-term impact on public health. To increase proactivity, the French Institute for Public Health Surveillance has opted for a prospective monitoring approach. Methods: Several steps were necessary: 1) Identification of public health determinants. 2) Identification of key variables based on a combination of determinants. Variables were classified into three groups (health event trigger factors, dissemination factors and response factors) and were submitted to future development assumptions. 3) Identification, in each of the three groups, of micro-scenarios derived from variable trends. 4) Identification of macro-scenarios, each built from the three micro-scenarios for each of the three groups. 5) Identification of issues for the future of public health. Results: The exercise identified 22 key variables, 17 micro-scenarios and 5 macro-scenarios. The topics retained relate to issues on social and territorial health inequalities, health burden, individual and collective responsibilities in terms of health, ethical aspects, emerging phenomena, ‘Big data’, data mining, new health technologies, interlocking of analysis scales. Conclusions: The approach presented here guides the programming of activities of a health safety agency, particularly for monitoring and surveillance. By describing possible future scenarios, health surveillance can help decision-makers to influence the context towards one or more favourable futures. |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | préparation |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | veille sanitaire |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | santé publique |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | futur |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | anticipation |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | veille prospective |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | horizon scanning |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | future |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | readiness and preparedness |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Public Health |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | epidemic intelligence |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | anticipation |
| 700 10 - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Xerri, Bertrand |
| Relator term | author |
| 700 10 - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Viso, Anne-Catherine |
| Relator term | author |
| 700 10 - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Therre, Hélène |
| Relator term | author |
| 700 10 - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Gorza, Maud |
| Relator term | author |
| 700 10 - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Fuchs, Doriane |
| Relator term | author |
| 700 10 - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Pozuelos, Jérôme |
| Relator term | author |
| 700 10 - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Ioos, Sophie |
| Relator term | author |
| 700 10 - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Che, Didier |
| Relator term | author |
| 700 10 - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Bertrand, Edwige |
| Relator term | author |
| 700 10 - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | El Yamani, Mounia |
| Relator term | author |
| 700 10 - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Empereur-Bissonnet, Pascal |
| Relator term | author |
| 700 10 - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Duport, Nicolas |
| Relator term | author |
| 700 10 - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Desenclos, Jean-Claude |
| Relator term | author |
| 786 0# - DATA SOURCE ENTRY | |
| Note | Santé Publique | 28 | 3 | 2016-06-08 | p. 309-319 | 0995-3914 |
| 856 41 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS | |
| Uniform Resource Identifier | <a href="https://shs.cairn.info/revue-sante-publique-2016-3-page-309?lang=fr&redirect-ssocas=7080">https://shs.cairn.info/revue-sante-publique-2016-3-page-309?lang=fr&redirect-ssocas=7080</a> |
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