Irreversible Climatic Catastrophe, Uncertainty, and Progress of Knowledge (notice n° 205963)

détails MARC
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 01794cam a2200157 4500500
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20250112052327.0
041 ## - LANGUAGE CODE
Language code of text/sound track or separate title fre
042 ## - AUTHENTICATION CODE
Authentication code dc
100 10 - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Rouillon, Sébastien
Relator term author
245 00 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Irreversible Climatic Catastrophe, Uncertainty, and Progress of Knowledge
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC.
Date of publication, distribution, etc. 2001.<br/>
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note 4
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. Climate policy claims a reflexion about public decisions under uncertainty. This work focuses on the case where a risk of catastrophe of unknown range is anticipated for pollution levels greater than a certain critical threshold. If constrained by the initial information, the best decision is to accept this risk when relevant expected welfare exceeds the certain welfare of preservation. In reality, the present best decision also bears with future information. The optimal strategy must take advantage of it. The question is then to know whether this incitates to pollute more or less today. Our analysis indicates that the answer depends upon the process of information arrival, and, therefore, upon the social planner ability to influence it. If the signals are emitted by the environment, the social planner can shorten the time until the arrival of future information, simply by accelerating the rate of accumulation of greenhouse gases. In such a case, learning incitates to pollute more. If the arrival of information follows an autonomous process, the social planner loses his ability to influence this delay and decides only the level of pollution when the information comes. In this case, it is impossible to determine whether or not an irreversibility effect exists. Classification JEL: Q28
786 0# - DATA SOURCE ENTRY
Note Revue économique | 52 | 1 | 2001-01-01 | p. 61-90 | 0035-2764
856 41 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Uniform Resource Identifier <a href="https://shs.cairn.info/journal-revue-economique-2001-1-page-61?lang=en">https://shs.cairn.info/journal-revue-economique-2001-1-page-61?lang=en</a>

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