« L’Allemagne paiera » (1918-1932) (notice n° 841420)
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| 000 -LEADER | |
|---|---|
| fixed length control field | 03500cam a2200313 4500500 |
| 005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION | |
| control field | 20250123142349.0 |
| 041 ## - LANGUAGE CODE | |
| Language code of text/sound track or separate title | fre |
| 042 ## - AUTHENTICATION CODE | |
| Authentication code | dc |
| 100 10 - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Touzé, Vincent |
| Relator term | author |
| 245 00 - TITLE STATEMENT | |
| Title | « L’Allemagne paiera » (1918-1932) |
| 260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. | |
| Date of publication, distribution, etc. | 2021.<br/> |
| 500 ## - GENERAL NOTE | |
| General note | 30 |
| 520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. | |
| Summary, etc. | Les réparations allemandes destinées aux pays vainqueurs de la Première Guerre mondiale constituent une brève histoire qui s’étend de 1918 à 1932. Bien que courte, cette période est intense en événements politiques et économiques qui vont faire du Traité de Versailles un échec, ou tout du moins, un armistice prolongé jusqu’au retour des premières hostilités de 1939. Cet article essaie de comprendre comment la résolution du choc de réallocation d’actifs/passifs provoqué par la Première Guerre mondiale – les Alliés se sont fortement endettés auprès des Américains ; l’Allemagne doit s’acquitter d’une lourde obligation de réparations – a animé la période de l’entre-deux-guerres. L’article revient sur les attentes politiques et économiques au moment de la rédaction du traité de paix. Il montre également comment la question du paiement des réparations a été liée à celle du règlement des dettes interalliées conduisant à des stratégies non coordonnées et finalement à l’abandon des créances. Enfin, est développée dans cet article, de façon inédite, une analyse cliométrique contrefactuelle à l’aide d’un modèle simple de finances publiques intertemporelles qui donne une mesure du besoin budgétaire et de l’impact intergénérationnel qu’aurait pu avoir le paiement des réparations s’il avait été intégralement honoré. |
| 520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. | |
| Summary, etc. | German reparations to the victorious countries constitute a brief history that stretches from 1918 to 1932. Although short, this period is intense in political and economic events that were to make the Treaty of Versailles a failure, or at least a prolonged armistice until the renewed outbreak of hostilities in 1939. This article attempts to understand how the resolution of the shock of the asset/liability reallocation brought about by the First World War – the Allies were heavily indebted to the Americans; Germany had to pay a heavy commitment of reparations – animated the interwar period. The article looks at the political and economic expectations at the time the peace treaty was drafted. It also shows how the question of the payment of reparations was linked to the settlement of inter-Allied debts, leading to uncoordinated strategies and ultimately to the abandonment of claims. Finally, this article develops a counterfactual cliometric analysis using a simple intertemporal public finance model that measures the budgetary needs and the intergenerational impact that the payment of reparations would have had if they had been paid in full.JEL codes: F34, H63, N42, N44 |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | analyse cliométrique contrefactuelle |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | réparations |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | défaut de paiement |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | dettes interalliées |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | plan Young |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | plan Dawes |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | payment defaults |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | counterfactual cliometrics analysis |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | reparations |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | young plan |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | inter-allied debt |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Dawes plan |
| 786 0# - DATA SOURCE ENTRY | |
| Note | Revue de l'OFCE | 171 | 1 | 2021-08-14 | p. 279-310 | 1265-9576 |
| 856 41 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS | |
| Uniform Resource Identifier | <a href="https://shs.cairn.info/revue-de-l-ofce-2021-1-page-279?lang=fr&redirect-ssocas=7080">https://shs.cairn.info/revue-de-l-ofce-2021-1-page-279?lang=fr&redirect-ssocas=7080</a> |
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