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The physical impact of the contemporary environmental disturbances resulting from climate change remains difficult to quantify. The global scientific community faces uncertainties about the extent, the geographic areas and the timing of such disturbances. Nevertheless, empirical scientific analyses have found  almost mathematical links between certain sudden climate changes and increased human insecurity in some areas, regions or countries. Climate change is seen here not as creating armed conflict or human insecurity, but rather as multiplying “economic and social stress” that can, along with other sources of disruption, facilitate the spiral into armed conflict.