TY - BOOK AU - Adjemian,Stéphane AU - Cahn,Christophe AU - Devulder,Antoine AU - Maggiar,Nicolas TI - Simulations under Uncertainty PY - 2008///. N1 - 10 N2 - The authors illustrate the usefulness of the Bayesian approach in economic-policy assessment, which typically relies on simulations. We describe a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DGSE) model for the euro zone. The Bayesian estimation of the model measures parameter-related uncertainty,which translates into simulation-related uncertainty.We offer a practical application by simulating the impact of a tax policy: an announced VAT shock UR - https://shs.cairn.info/journal-economie-et-prevision-1-2008-2-page-223?lang=en&redirect-ssocas=7080 ER -