Image de Google Jackets
Vue normale Vue MARC vue ISBD

Adaptive market efficiency and geopolitical risk in agricultural commodity markets

Par : Contributeur(s) : Type de matériel : TexteTexteLangue : français Détails de publication : 2024. Sujet(s) : Ressources en ligne : Abrégé : This paper examines time-varying market efficiency in the agricultural commodity futures markets using an advanced technique known as the Adjusted Market Inefficiency Measure (AMIM). Employing a range of statistical tools, including OLS, Logit, and Tobit regressions, as well as GSADF and recursive residuals tests, we explore whether the Adaptive Market Efficiency Hypothesis (AMH) can provide insights into the explosive behavior of agricultural commodity prices during speculative bubbles and the COVID-19 pandemic. Our analysis uncovers periodically collapsing bubbles in all agricultural commodity futures markets, particularly during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and the COVID-19 pandemic. Consistent with the AMH, our results highlight the time-varying nature of market efficiency as a microstructure feature. Additionally, we observe a non-uniform response of efficiency across similar markets to global events. Notably, when contrasted with other financial crises, the outbreak of COVID-19 pandemic has a more pronounced effect on the inefficiency of specific agricultural commodities futures markets, such as corn and soybean, compared to wheat, soybean-oil and oats futures markets. these findings carry important implications for asset allocations, investors, and policymakers during periods of health and financial instability.
Tags de cette bibliothèque : Pas de tags pour ce titre. Connectez-vous pour ajouter des tags.
Evaluations
    Classement moyen : 0.0 (0 votes)
Nous n'avons pas d'exemplaire de ce document

42

This paper examines time-varying market efficiency in the agricultural commodity futures markets using an advanced technique known as the Adjusted Market Inefficiency Measure (AMIM). Employing a range of statistical tools, including OLS, Logit, and Tobit regressions, as well as GSADF and recursive residuals tests, we explore whether the Adaptive Market Efficiency Hypothesis (AMH) can provide insights into the explosive behavior of agricultural commodity prices during speculative bubbles and the COVID-19 pandemic. Our analysis uncovers periodically collapsing bubbles in all agricultural commodity futures markets, particularly during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and the COVID-19 pandemic. Consistent with the AMH, our results highlight the time-varying nature of market efficiency as a microstructure feature. Additionally, we observe a non-uniform response of efficiency across similar markets to global events. Notably, when contrasted with other financial crises, the outbreak of COVID-19 pandemic has a more pronounced effect on the inefficiency of specific agricultural commodities futures markets, such as corn and soybean, compared to wheat, soybean-oil and oats futures markets. these findings carry important implications for asset allocations, investors, and policymakers during periods of health and financial instability.

PLUDOC

PLUDOC est la plateforme unique et centralisée de gestion des bibliothèques physiques et numériques de Guinée administré par le CEDUST. Elle est la plus grande base de données de ressources documentaires pour les Étudiants, Enseignants chercheurs et Chercheurs de Guinée.

Adresse

627 919 101/664 919 101

25 boulevard du commerce
Kaloum, Conakry, Guinée

Réseaux sociaux

Powered by Netsen Group @ 2025