000 01879cam a2200229 4500500
005 20251012024439.0
041 _afre
042 _adc
100 1 0 _aEl Kawas, Zouheir
_eauthor
700 1 0 _a Dos Santos Paulino, Victor
_eauthor
245 0 0 _aDisruptions in the Space Ecosystem: Early Identification
260 _c2025.
500 _a38
520 _aThis research investigates how incumbents can identify and interpret early indicators of disruptive innovations in high-tech, uncertain environments. Despite growing interest in weak signals and strategic foresight, systematic approaches to distinguish credible early signals from ambient noise remain underdeveloped. By integrating Disruptive Innovation Theory, Weak Signals and Strategic Foresight, and Signaling Theory, this study develops a structured, theory-informed process for detecting and validating early signals. Methodologically, it combines text mining of scientific and technical corpora with Delphi expert rounds to assess the novelty, relevance, and credibility of emerging signals. Abductive logic supports an iterative interplay between theory and data, fostering grounded insights into the dynamics of disruption. Focusing on the space ecosystem, marked by disruptive entrants, shifting market dynamics, and evolving governance structures, the framework uncovers and interprets early signals of innovation. Findings provide theoretical and practical tools for innovation monitoring and proactive decision-making under conditions of ambiguity.
690 _aDisruptive Innovations
690 _aEarly Detection
690 _aSpace Ecosystem
690 _aStrategic Foresight
690 _aWeak Signals
786 0 _nInnovations | hors-série | HS1 | 2025-10-10 | p. 32-32 | 1267-4982
856 4 1 _uhttps://shs.cairn.info/journal-innovations-2025-HS1-page-32?lang=en&redirect-ssocas=7080
999 _c1543930
_d1543930