000			01855cam a2200241 4500500
005			20251026003923.0
041			_afre
042			_adc
100	1	0	_aBriand, Anne _eauthor
700	1	0	_aReynaud, Arnaud _eauthor
700	1	0	_aViroleau, Franck _eauthor
245	0	0	_aWater Innovative Policies Face to Hydric Scarcity: An Integrated Approach of Impact Evaluation Applied to Nelson Mandela Bay (NMB)
260			_c2025.
500			_a17
520			_aThis paper presents a new dynamic CGE model focused on water for NMB. It assesses the impacts of water scarcity in both the short and long term (up to 2030). It considers all water users and sectors while accounting for macroeconomic constraints and intersectoral linkages, and includes a detailed representation of water sources (tap water, reused wastewater, and desalinated seawater). Our results demonstrate the model’s utility in informing policymakers about the links between water security and economic growth (and even more socio-economic variables). With a projected 17% increase in water scarcity due to population growth, climate change, and poor resource management, the CGE model predicts a 0.82% decrease in NMB’s GDP by 2030. The long-term impact varies across sectors, with water-related sectors experiencing the most significant negative effects. The results suggest that policies promoting water conservation and reducing non-revenue water may be most effective in mitigating the negative impacts of water scarcity.
690			_aClimate Change
690			_aComputable General Equilibrium Model
690			_aNelson Mandela Bay
690			_aSouth Africa
690			_aWater
786	0		_nInnovations | hors-série | HS1 | 2025-10-10 | p. 194-194 | 1267-4982
856	4	1	_uhttps://shs.cairn.info/revue-innovations-2025-HS1-page-194?lang=fr&redirect-ssocas=7080
999			_c1559739 _d1559739