000 01349cam a2200169 4500500
005 20250112031847.0
041 _afre
042 _adc
100 1 0 _ad’Autume, Antoine
_eauthor
700 1 0 _a Quinet, Alain
_eauthor
245 0 0 _aA Medium-Term Model of the French Economy
260 _c2001.
500 _a12
520 _aThis paper presents a simple small-scale model of the French economy, which can be used for forecasting and assessing shocks and macroeconomic policies. We model a small open economy with fixed exchange rates and a given real interest rate. The economy has two sectors, namely tradable and non-tradable goods. Agents’behaviour is described simply and robustly, without the introduction of rational expectations and with the systematic use of error correction mechanisms. The dynamics of financial wealth are taken into account, since wealth effects naturally ensure the long-run convergence of per capita wealth and the satisfaction of solvency constraints. The short-run dynamics incorporate the Keynesian sticky price and wage elements. The model’s long-run aspect is largely calibrated and the short-run dynamics are estimated.
786 0 _nEconomie & prévision | o 148 | 2 | 2001-04-01 | p. 1-21 | 0249-4744
856 4 1 _uhttps://shs.cairn.info/journal-economie-et-prevision-1-2001-2-page-1?lang=en
999 _c157257
_d157257