000			01377cam a2200157 4500500
005			20260329005153.0
041			_afre
042			_adc
100	1	0	_aBureau, Dominique _eauthor
245	0	0	_aIntroduction
260			_c2005.
500			_a51
520			_aThis research paper explores the role of unemployment in improving gross domestic product (GDP) growth forecasting reliability by using vector autoregressive (VAR) models, with a particular focus on mixed frequency Bayesian VAR (MF-BVAR) models. It also examines how key economic variables, which are largely employed by central banks, are included, such as GDP, money supply (M1), inflation, short-term interest rates, and unemployment. By incorporating unemployment data, the study aims to improve the accuracy of GDP forecasts. The findings highlight the significant impact of unemployment on economic indicators and the overall accuracy of the forecasting models. This research contributes to economic forecasting literature by demonstrating the value of considering labor market dynamics in predictive models and offers valuable insights for policymakers and economists. JEL classification: C53, E24, E58.
786	0		_nEconomie & prévision | o 167 | 1 | 2005-03-01 | p. 1-2 | 0249-4744
856	4	1	_uhttps://shs.cairn.info/journal-economie-et-prevision-1-2005-1-page-1?lang=en&redirect-ssocas=7080
999			_c1840947 _d1840947