000			01454cam a2200205 4500500
005			20250112043650.0
041			_afre
042			_adc
100	1	0	_aLabys, Walter C. _eauthor
245	0	0	_aNew Directions in the Modeling and Forecasting of Commodity Markets
260			_c2003.
500			_a71
520			_aThis paper reviews the current state of economic and econometric research in the modeling of commodity markets and their role in economic development. The application of statistical methods to commodity markets and prices has been limited because of the erratic behavior of both prices and supplies over time. Nonetheless, a very rich field for modeling and forecasting has grown over time. This research began with the analysis of agricultural demand, supply, and prices in a market context and was later extended to the mineral and energy sectors. These models not only analyzed market history but also evaluated commodity policies and forecast commodity prices. This paper first provides a perspective on the current status of this research and then offers directions for future research.
690			_aCommodity models
690			_acommodity price forecasting
690			_acommodities and economic development
690			_aeconometric models
786	0		_nMondes en développement | o 122 | 2 | 2003-06-01 | p. 3-19 | 0302-3052
856	4	1	_uhttps://shs.cairn.info/journal-mondes-en-developpement-2003-2-page-3?lang=en
999			_c187875 _d187875