000			01580cam a2200277 4500500
005			20250121053312.0
041			_afre
042			_adc
100	1	0	_aDrenkhahn, Kirstin _eauthor
245	0	0	_aTranslation. Trends and projections of the prison population and its characteristics in Germany
260			_c2022.
500			_a42
520			_aIt would be useful to know the number of prison places to be provided in the longer or shorter term, or the characteristics of future inmates that might influence the design of the prison system. We could certainly boast of having the perfect punishment regime. But projections are notoriously difficult to make: looking ahead can only be based on analyses of the past. In this article, we address the problem of forecasting the number of prisoners and their characteristics by summarising the development of the prison population in Germany over the past decades, based on public statistics. We then briefly examine some explanatory models for this development in terms of the ability they provide to make projections, and conclude by presenting and discussing current predictive models.
690			_aPrison
690			_aStatistics
690			_aInmates
690			_aPunishment
690			_aGermany
690			_aPrison
690			_aStatistics
690			_aInmates
690			_aPunishment
690			_aGermany
786	0		_nDéviance et Société | 46 | 1 | 2022-03-02 | p. 95-121 | 0378-7931
856	4	1	_uhttps://shs.cairn.info/journal-deviance-et-societe-2022-1-page-95?lang=en&redirect-ssocas=7080
999			_c467957 _d467957