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041 _afre
042 _adc
100 1 0 _aGossé, Jean-Baptiste
_eauthor
700 1 0 _a Guillaumin, Cyriac
_eauthor
245 0 0 _aThe Impact of External Shocks in the Eurozone: Lessons from a Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) Model
260 _c2012.
500 _a7
520 _aThis article studies the impact on Europe of the main external shocks that occurred in the 2000s, such as rising oil prices, the fall in the US interest rate, stock market bubbles in the United States, and rising global imbalances. We estimate an SVAR model with exogeneity constraints, together with contemporary and long-term restrictions, in order to measure the impact of these shocks on the euro area and its member countries, as well as on the United Kingdom. The findings show that external shocks during the 2000s help to explain Europe’s relatively sluggish growth, the appreciation of the euro, and widening current account deficits within the euro area.
690 _astructural vector autoregressive (SVAR) models
690 _aeuro area
690 _acurrent account imbalances
690 _aexogeneityassumption
786 0 _nEconomie & prévision | o 195-196 | 4 | 2012-10-01 | p. 15-33 | 0249-4744
856 4 1 _uhttps://shs.cairn.info/journal-economie-et-prevision-1-2010-4-page-15?lang=en&redirect-ssocas=7080
999 _c468713
_d468713