000 01923cam a2200193 4500500
005 20250121113716.0
041 _afre
042 _adc
100 1 0 _aAubin, Christian
_eauthor
700 1 0 _a Berdot, Jean-Pierre
_eauthor
700 1 0 _a Goyeau, Daniel
_eauthor
700 1 0 _a Léonard, Jacques
_eauthor
245 0 0 _aUS and EU Foreign Direct Investments in the CEECs
260 _c2006.
500 _a25
520 _aThis paper first reviews the mainstream literature concerning the explanatory factors of fdis in the ceecs and specifically the exchange rate effects. We then present an empirical analysis of medium and long term exchange rate effects over the period 1995/2002, comparing us and eu investors behaviours. As regards the dynamics of fdis in the ceecs, the empirical results confirm the standard literature: two behavioural logics seem to appear and these are differently weighted for us and eu investors. If European fdi mainly aims at entering a foreign market, the American one also aims at relocating production so as to reexport the product to the domestic market. Notwithstanding the impact of exchange rate seems to be less obvious. Neither the level nor the volatility of the exchange rate appear to be significant; and neither is the de jure exchange rate regime. Nevertheless, an index of the de facto exchange regime is quite relevant. It is worth noting that in the case of ceecs the problem of exchange rate risk is specific: in the long run, the pegging of their currencies to the euro will become harder and harder before they join the European single currency. So, exchange rate effects may be altered throughout the transition process towards monetary union. Classification JEL : F21, F31, F36
786 0 _nRevue économique | 57 | 4 | 2006-08-01 | p. 771-792 | 0035-2764
856 4 1 _uhttps://shs.cairn.info/journal-revue-economique-2006-4-page-771?lang=en&redirect-ssocas=7080
999 _c545431
_d545431