000			01897cam a2200325 4500500
005			20250121114716.0
041			_afre
042			_adc
100	1	0	_aLevasseur, Sandrine _eauthor
245	0	0	_aReducing EU cattle numbers to reach greenhouse gas targets
260			_c2024.
500			_a64
520			_aCattle are directly responsible for half of the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from EU agriculture, once enteric fermentation and manure management are taken into account. Faced with the need to achieve a rapid curbing of GHG, voices in some EU circles have been calling for reducing the size of cattle herds, a radical option whose impact has not even been roughly estimated. As a working assumption, this paper first analyses the decrease of EU cattle numbers required to achieve 30% of the GHG reduction targets in agriculture for 2030. Based on the Effort Sharing Regulation (ESR), the corresponding decrease in EU cattle numbers would be 16.3 million head, a 22% reduction compared to 2022. We then discuss the implications of such a downsizing for trade and beef consumption within the EU, taking stock of current data and formulating some assumptions about supply and demand behaviour. Finally, we briefly consider other mitigation measures less radical than downsizing.
690			_aEuropean Green Deal
690			_aAgriculture
690			_aCattle
690			_aGreenhouse Gas
690			_aFarming Systems
690			_aMethane
690			_aInternational trade
690			_aEuropean Green Deal
690			_aAgriculture
690			_aCattle
690			_aGreenhouse Gas
690			_aFarming Systems
690			_aMethane
690			_aInternational trade
786	0		_nRevue de l'OFCE | o 183 | 4 | 2024-03-27 | p. 181-216 | 1265-9576
856	4	1	_uhttps://shs.cairn.info/journal-revue-de-l-ofce-2023-4-page-181?lang=en&redirect-ssocas=7080
999			_c547360 _d547360