000			03452cam a2200265 4500500
005			20250123142627.0
041			_afre
042			_adc
100	1	0	_aCariou, Clément _eauthor
245	0	0	_aAnalyse du cycle des demandeurs d’emploi en région Pays de la Loire
260			_c2021.
500			_a43
520			_aDans un contexte où l’analyse conjoncturelle est devenue un enjeu majeur pour les décideurs privés et publics au niveau national, l’étude des cycles des grands agrégats macroéconomiques est également un sujet important au niveau régional. En effet, cette analyse cyclique régionale permet de renseigner et d’identifier les caractéristiques idiosyncratiques d’un territoire, dans notre cas, la région Pays de la Loire et ses départements. L’objet de cet article est d’étudier le cycle mensuel des demandeurs d’emploi en examinant leurs cycles classiques. Nous proposons ainsi une datation de leurs points de retournement cyclique sur la période de 1996 à 2019. Les résultats montrent des similitudes entre les départements, mais aussi des différences, notamment sur le fait que certains départements subissent davantage les effets des récessions économiques. Classification JEL : C22, E24, E32.
520			_aThe analysis of the cycles of major macroeconomic aggregates is important for policy-makers and analysts not only at a national level but also at a regional level and even at a departmental level. Indeed, this cyclical analysis can inform and identify the idiosyncratic characteristics of a territory. The aim of this article is to study the monthly cycle of jobseekers in the Pays de la Loire region and its departments by examining both businesses, also known as the classical cycle. Following the theoretical and empirical foundations of the National Bureau of Economic Research and the seminal work of Burns and Mitchell, we propose a monthly chronology of these cycles during the period 1996-2019. In addition, we examine in detail the characteristics of the duration, amplitude and depth of employment cycles. We also calculate an innovative measure of department synchronisation using the modified Moran Index. The results show that some departments are more affected by economic recessions and therefore lag behind in exiting the "expansion", also known as the turning point of the cycle. To conclude, we found that departmental cycles in the Pays de la Loire region were more synchronised after 2008. We believe that the creation of Pôle Emploi, the national employment agency in charge of unemployment compensation and jobseeker assistance, is partly responsible for improving intra-departmental cyclical synchronisation. Indeed, the integration of skills in job placement and monitoring of jobseekers with this compensation would have had a positive effect on local coordination allowing for greater effectiveness of employment policies in general. JEL Classification: C22, E24, E32.
690			_ademandeurs d’emploi
690			_asynchronisation
690			_acycle classique
690			_apoint de retournement
690			_aturning point
690			_ajobseekers
690			_asynchronization
690			_abusiness cycle
786	0		_nRevue d’Économie Régionale & Urbaine | Octobre | 4 | 2021-10-07 | p. 683-712 | 0180-7307
856	4	1	_uhttps://shs.cairn.info/revue-d-economie-regionale-et-urbaine-2021-4-page-683?lang=fr&redirect-ssocas=7080
999			_c842330 _d842330