A Probabilistic Indicator of the Acceleration Cycle in the French Economy (notice n° 468565)
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|---|---|
| fixed length control field | 01324cam a2200229 4500500 |
| 005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION | |
| control field | 20250121053603.0 |
| 041 ## - LANGUAGE CODE | |
| Language code of text/sound track or separate title | fre |
| 042 ## - AUTHENTICATION CODE | |
| Authentication code | dc |
| 100 10 - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Adanero-Donderis, Marie |
| Relator term | author |
| 245 00 - TITLE STATEMENT | |
| Title | A Probabilistic Indicator of the Acceleration Cycle in the French Economy |
| 260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. | |
| Date of publication, distribution, etc. | 2009.<br/> |
| 500 ## - GENERAL NOTE | |
| General note | 60 |
| 520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. | |
| Summary, etc. | We describe a new coincident probabilistic cyclical indicator developed by the Banque de France in order to detect, on a monthly basis, the turning points in the French economy’s acceleration cycle. The indicator is based on the methodology of Markov-switching models and uses the Bank’s monthly business survey as input. A pseudo-real-time validation since1998 shows the indicator’s usefulness in short-term economic analysis. This type of indicator provides original qualitative information that complements standard quantitative tools for estimating GDP growth. |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | acceleration cycle |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Markov-switching models |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | surveys |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | probabilistic indicator |
| 700 10 - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Darné, Olivier |
| Relator term | author |
| 700 10 - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Ferrara, Laurent |
| Relator term | author |
| 786 0# - DATA SOURCE ENTRY | |
| Note | Economie & prévision | o 189 | 3 | 2009-11-23 | p. 95-114 | 0249-4744 |
| 856 41 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS | |
| Uniform Resource Identifier | <a href="https://shs.cairn.info/journal-economie-et-prevision-1-2009-3-page-95?lang=en&redirect-ssocas=7080">https://shs.cairn.info/journal-economie-et-prevision-1-2009-3-page-95?lang=en&redirect-ssocas=7080</a> |
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