Exit Polls and Voter Turnout in the 2017 French Elections (notice n° 546521)
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| fixed length control field | 01619cam a2200265 4500500 |
| 005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION | |
| control field | 20250121114122.0 |
| 041 ## - LANGUAGE CODE | |
| Language code of text/sound track or separate title | fre |
| 042 ## - AUTHENTICATION CODE | |
| Authentication code | dc |
| 100 10 - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Grillo, Alberto |
| Relator term | author |
| 245 00 - TITLE STATEMENT | |
| Title | Exit Polls and Voter Turnout in the 2017 French Elections |
| 260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. | |
| Date of publication, distribution, etc. | 2024.<br/> |
| 500 ## - GENERAL NOTE | |
| General note | 82 |
| 520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. | |
| Summary, etc. | Belgian and Swiss media regularly interfere in French elections by releasing polls and predictions before polling stations close. We exploit the unusual timing and degree of confidence of polls in the second round of the 2017 presidential election to investigate their effect on voter turnout. Our analysis compares turnout rates at different times on the election day, in the first and second round, and with respect to the 2012 and 2022 elections. We observe a significant decrease in turnout after the exit polls’ publication. The effect amounts to 1.1 percentage points in the triple-differences comparison with the 2022 election and is stronger in departments close to the Belgian border. We also find suggestive evidence of a small underdog effect, which may have reduced the winning margin by up to 1 percentage point. JEL Codes: D72. |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | voter turnout |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | bandwagon effect |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | exit polls |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | underdog effect |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | voter turnout |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | bandwagon effect |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | exit polls |
| 690 ## - LOCAL SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM (OCLC, RLIN) | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | underdog effect |
| 700 10 - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Raiber, Eva |
| Relator term | author |
| 786 0# - DATA SOURCE ENTRY | |
| Note | Revue économique | 75 | 2 | 2024-04-17 | p. 353-369 | 0035-2764 |
| 856 41 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS | |
| Uniform Resource Identifier | <a href="https://shs.cairn.info/journal-revue-economique-2024-2-page-353?lang=en&redirect-ssocas=7080">https://shs.cairn.info/journal-revue-economique-2024-2-page-353?lang=en&redirect-ssocas=7080</a> |
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