Image de Google Jackets
Vue normale Vue MARC vue ISBD

Exit Polls and Voter Turnout in the 2017 French Elections

Par : Contributeur(s) : Type de matériel : TexteTexteLangue : français Détails de publication : 2024. Sujet(s) : Ressources en ligne : Abrégé : Belgian and Swiss media regularly interfere in French elections by releasing polls and predictions before polling stations close. We exploit the unusual timing and degree of confidence of polls in the second round of the 2017 presidential election to investigate their effect on voter turnout. Our analysis compares turnout rates at different times on the election day, in the first and second round, and with respect to the 2012 and 2022 elections. We observe a significant decrease in turnout after the exit polls’ publication. The effect amounts to 1.1 percentage points in the triple-differences comparison with the 2022 election and is stronger in departments close to the Belgian border. We also find suggestive evidence of a small underdog effect, which may have reduced the winning margin by up to 1 percentage point. JEL Codes: D72.
Tags de cette bibliothèque : Pas de tags pour ce titre. Connectez-vous pour ajouter des tags.
Evaluations
    Classement moyen : 0.0 (0 votes)
Nous n'avons pas d'exemplaire de ce document

82

Belgian and Swiss media regularly interfere in French elections by releasing polls and predictions before polling stations close. We exploit the unusual timing and degree of confidence of polls in the second round of the 2017 presidential election to investigate their effect on voter turnout. Our analysis compares turnout rates at different times on the election day, in the first and second round, and with respect to the 2012 and 2022 elections. We observe a significant decrease in turnout after the exit polls’ publication. The effect amounts to 1.1 percentage points in the triple-differences comparison with the 2022 election and is stronger in departments close to the Belgian border. We also find suggestive evidence of a small underdog effect, which may have reduced the winning margin by up to 1 percentage point. JEL Codes: D72.

PLUDOC

PLUDOC est la plateforme unique et centralisée de gestion des bibliothèques physiques et numériques de Guinée administré par le CEDUST. Elle est la plus grande base de données de ressources documentaires pour les Étudiants, Enseignants chercheurs et Chercheurs de Guinée.

Adresse

627 919 101/664 919 101

25 boulevard du commerce
Kaloum, Conakry, Guinée

Réseaux sociaux

Powered by Netsen Group @ 2025